PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bibiaa

0x34db5ad133ec30a3c5ae6a42adedcd81c6b62e01

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$113.2k
Markets traded
303
Open portfolio
$7.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded303
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes0.5000.056$5.55$44.45
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? · Yes0.3400.036$1.80$15.20
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00$41.00
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale? · No0.1800.000$0.00$5.40
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · No0.1800.000$0.00$36.00
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$6.00
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$10.50
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? · No0.8330.000$0.00$41.65
Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? · No0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · No0.7600.000$0.00$38.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 09:07Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?SELL0.5$25.00
08-05 09:07Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.22$11.00
08-05 02:15Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.276$13.80
08-05 01:20Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?SELL0.54$27.00
08-02 00:52Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?SELL0.758$37.90
08-01 05:42Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?SELL0.19$9.50
08-01 05:41Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?SELL0.16$8.00
08-01 05:39Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?SELL0.37$18.50
08-01 04:08Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?SELL0.89$33.63
07-31 06:29Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?SELL0.512$25.60
07-31 06:29Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?SELL0.506$25.30
07-31 06:29Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?SELL0.54$27.00
07-31 05:30Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?SELL0.101$3.42
07-31 05:11Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.35$17.50
07-31 05:08Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?SELL0.45$22.50