bibiaa
0x34db5ad133ec30a3c5ae6a42adedcd81c6b62e01
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $113.2k
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $7.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.056 | $5.55 | −$44.45 |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.036 | $1.80 | −$15.20 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.00 |
| Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? · No | 0.833 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.65 |
| Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.00at 0.500Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?
- +$34.85at 0.480Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$8.31at 0.930Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
- +$8.00at 0.630Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$5.78at 0.450Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 09:07 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 09:07 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 08-05 02:15 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.276 | $13.80 |
| 08-05 01:20 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 08-02 00:52 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | SELL | 0.758 | $37.90 |
| 08-01 05:42 | Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 08-01 05:41 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 08-01 05:39 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 08-01 04:08 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $33.63 |
| 07-31 06:29 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.512 | $25.60 |
| 07-31 06:29 | Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.506 | $25.30 |
| 07-31 06:29 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | SELL | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 07-31 05:30 | Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? | SELL | 0.101 | $3.42 |
| 07-31 05:11 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 07-31 05:08 | Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? | SELL | 0.45 | $22.50 |