0x34D2D256A1Fba5b3Da67369bbb5abE21b83E5d3F-1773030016063
0x34d2d256a1fba5b3da67369bbb5abe21b83e5d3f
- Realised P&L
- $0.65
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $89.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.115 | $56.68 | −$17.07 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · No | 0.070 | 0.050 | $14.14 | −$5.86 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? · No | 0.126 | 0.055 | $13.11 | −$16.89 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No | 0.180 | 0.100 | $5.56 | −$4.44 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? · No | 0.277 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Trump kiss by May 31? · No | 0.431 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.36at 0.428Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$0.25at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$-0.03at 0.998Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 14:09 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 14:09 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 15? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.97 |
| 09-07 14:09 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 14:08 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999969 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 14:08 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.1258844152 | $30.00 |
| 09-07 14:03 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | SELL | 0.1253820868 | $61.79 |
| 07-31 12:54 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999938 | $15.00 |
| 07-21 12:47 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 14:36 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 11:29 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | BUY | 0.2774108259 | $30.00 |
| 05-31 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 10:00 | Trump kiss by May 31? | BUY | 0.431029703 | $10.88 |
| 04-15 16:16 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 03-18 04:08 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | BUY | 0.1812783334 | $102.49 |
| 03-18 04:06 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.969 | $84.71 |