PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x34D2D256A1Fba5b3Da67369bbb5abE21b83E5d3F-1773030016063

0x34d2d256a1fba5b3da67369bbb5abe21b83e5d3f

Realised P&L
$0.65
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$89.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.1500.115$56.68$17.07
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · No0.0700.050$14.14$5.86
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? · No0.1260.055$13.11$16.89
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No0.1800.100$5.56$4.44
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? · No0.2770.000$0.00$30.00
Trump kiss by May 31? · No0.4310.000$0.00$10.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 14:09Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.179999987$10.00
09-07 14:09Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 15?SELL0.995$9.97
09-07 14:09Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 15?BUY0.998$10.00
09-07 14:08Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.0699999969$20.00
09-07 14:08Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.1258844152$30.00
09-07 14:03Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?SELL0.1253820868$61.79
07-31 12:54Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.1099999938$15.00
07-21 12:47Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
07-08 14:36Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
05-31 11:29Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?BUY0.2774108259$30.00
05-31 11:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.95$5.00
05-20 10:00Trump kiss by May 31?BUY0.431029703$10.88
04-15 16:16Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.1$20.00
03-18 04:08Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.1812783334$102.49
03-18 04:06Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.969$84.71