0x34cd6b234bab7f688806c684ae6d022b733f866d
0x34cd6b234bab7f688806c684ae6d022b733f866d
- Realised P&L
- $-0.12
- Volume
- $54.51
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $4.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.971 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.805 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.865 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.135 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.165 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.029 | $0.08 | −$0.92 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.017 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.270US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$0.96at 0.510US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.80at 0.560Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:02 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:02 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:54 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:27 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:45 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:24 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:52 | Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 03:51 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 02:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 04:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 20:49 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 12:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 17:34 | Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |