0x34ca3fa651e18e77ca4a002d6e9b4f96529eb634
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $8.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.049 | $6.84 | +$1.34 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $1.36 | −$3.78 |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$3.89 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? · Yes | 0.357 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.66at 0.706Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 13:28 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0018917274 | $5.14 |
| 10-11 13:28 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999997 | $5.50 |
| 06-11 14:05 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999357 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 14:05 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1089999565 | $2.00 |
| 04-10 22:16 | Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0139999932 | $2.00 |
| 04-09 09:30 | Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 09:30 | Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 04-07 21:01 | Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.65 |
| 04-07 19:01 | Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6999999825 | $3.93 |
| 04-07 18:58 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $1.92 |
| 04-05 15:02 | Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0240000004 | $2.00 |
| 03-31 20:09 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $2.84 |