leszcz
0x34c9da01fb35c77e6cedf3a82fd94ea8a7a77dc6
- Realised P&L
- $103.23
- Volume
- $34.5k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $104.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$405.65at 0.176Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$358.92at 0.564Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$185.09at 0.200Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
- +$102.95at 0.200Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?
- +$94.26at 0.145Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:46 | Święczkowski charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1035781542 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1256388251 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 19:35 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1069999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 08:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $48.25 |
| 10-31 08:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 08:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 08:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 08:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $6.63 |
| 10-31 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |