0x34c5f8da18c1cda8fac3f2165d7600eb04b0fa47
- Realised P&L
- $5.48
- Volume
- $53.96
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $11.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · Yes | 0.560 | 1.000 | $7.14 | +$3.14 |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.905 | $4.53 | +$1.23 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.67at 0.570Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
- +$-0.55at 0.670US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 17:05 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 05-15 15:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 05-14 14:53 | Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |