solmaria
0x34c5df428a593de3d34a8b7fc6d8a98d4e665b3f
- Realised P&L
- $106.98
- Volume
- $31.0k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $134.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$382.27at 0.726Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$146.34at 0.220Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$138.10at 0.420Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$115.12at 0.410Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$107.58at 0.582Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:00 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 14:12 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 19:21 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5724999938 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 14:16 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4 | $43.24 |
| 07-14 14:16 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.5875 | $49.37 |
| 07-14 14:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.217 | $156.11 |
| 07-14 14:15 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.39 | $335.83 |
| 07-13 03:14 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.41 | $47.67 |
| 07-13 03:13 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5949999983 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 03:11 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 03:10 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4499999963 | $55.00 |
| 07-12 01:16 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999979 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 01:15 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.7575 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 12:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1769999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 18:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |