PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

solmaria

0x34c5df428a593de3d34a8b7fc6d8a98d4e665b3f

Realised P&L
$106.98
Volume
$31.0k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$134.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.2500.335$134.00+$34.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$58.92
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$80.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$80.00
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$20.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.7080.000$0.00$130.00
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5 · Over0.7500.000$0.00$40.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00$100.00
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$30.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? · Yes0.4580.000$0.00$48.05
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$30.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$15.00
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00$30.00
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.5340.000$0.00$55.00
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia0.6040.000$0.00$80.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 20:00Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.25$100.00
07-18 14:12France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6699999972$50.00
07-14 19:21France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5724999938$25.00
07-14 14:16Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.4$43.24
07-14 14:16France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSELL0.5875$49.37
07-14 14:16Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.217$156.11
07-14 14:15Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.39$335.83
07-13 03:14Will France win on 2026-07-14?SELL0.41$47.67
07-13 03:13France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5949999983$50.00
07-13 03:11Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.4599999968$20.00
07-13 03:10England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4499999963$55.00
07-12 01:16Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4299999979$50.00
07-12 01:15Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.7575$100.00
07-11 12:09Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1769999975$50.00
07-10 18:24Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
Trader solmaria · PolyBot