0x34B7B1BfF11762eed0da5DF449243425aB441342-1770283055247
0x34b7b1bff11762eed0da5df449243425ab441342
- Realised P&L
- $310.71
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $9.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 22? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $9.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 19? · No | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19? · No | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$314.00at 0.500Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on March 11?
- +$41.82at 0.490XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET
- +$0.14at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?
- +$0.11at 0.996Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 23?
- +$0.11at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:33 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-14 04:38 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 06:05 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 06:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.9989999677 | $30.00 |
| 08-14 04:52 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 04:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.00 |
| 08-13 05:12 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 08-13 05:11 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 13? | BUY | 0.9989999677 | $30.00 |
| 08-12 04:48 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 04:47 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9979999747 | $30.00 |
| 08-11 04:56 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 04:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.998999951 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 04:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.998999901 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 05:12 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 05:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |