xdfdrr55
0x34b71673e00a0dd652e97bd1640e633884f0091a
- Realised P&L
- $353.45
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $41.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.963 | 0.981 | $18.55 | +$0.33 |
| Noble FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No | 0.920 | 0.945 | $10.39 | +$0.28 |
| Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.891 | 0.898 | $8.98 | +$0.07 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.981 | 0.983 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.984 | 0.965 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$355.00at 0.450Blues vs. Sabres
- +$1.41at 0.966Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
- +$0.94at 0.970Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.35at 0.920Zircuit airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.27at 0.940Swell airdrop in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-22 13:16 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.10 |
| 02-22 13:15 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.40 |
| 02-22 13:14 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.00 |
| 02-22 13:14 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.994999791 | $3.00 |
| 02-22 13:14 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.00 |
| 02-22 13:14 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 13:14 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.980999998 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 13:08 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9629999725 | $18.22 |
| 11-06 07:43 | Blues vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.45 | $290.46 |
| 09-28 09:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.966 | $40.11 |
| 08-31 08:13 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $40.03 |
| 07-17 05:35 | Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? | SELL | 0.8456509554 | $39.83 |
| 04-24 02:08 | Will Solana reach $300 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.58 |
| 04-24 02:08 | Will Solana reach $250 in April? | BUY | 0.9969999769 | $20.00 |
| 04-24 02:07 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.872 | $1.92 |