LMAOQQ
0x34a9147f6e9f11d37aa8e47e3888661e08c43b89
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $175.3k
- Markets traded
- 421
- Open portfolio
- $14.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded421
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.145 | $14.50 | −$7.50 |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$525.45at 0.463Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$420.61at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$418.57at 0.308Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$318.82at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$302.82at 0.394Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 18:12 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 09-12 01:23 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 09-11 19:57 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 09-03 21:29 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.954 | $95.40 |
| 09-02 19:01 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-06 21:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 07-06 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 07-06 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $58.90 |
| 07-06 21:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 07-06 21:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 07-06 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $42.43 |
| 07-06 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.488 | $48.80 |
| 07-06 20:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 07-05 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5231 | $52.31 |
| 07-05 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |