PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lurkr

0x34a351f6f4ba7ac7127f2852a21e75e75de2f04f

Realised P&L
$-385.15
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$63.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Cleveland Guardians0.4100.405$63.22−$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18? · Yes0.4190.000$0.00−$15.00
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Boston Red Sox0.5000.000$0.00−$2.00
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays0.4300.000$0.00−$3.40
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.5500.000$0.00−$2.00
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals · Philadelphia Phillies0.4900.000$0.00−$2.00
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers · Pittsburgh Pirates0.5000.000$0.00−$3.20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals · Cleveland Guardians0.5100.000$0.00−$4.00
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers0.4500.000$0.00−$5.44
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals · New York Mets0.4800.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 19? · Yes0.2390.000$0.00−$15.22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 21? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$7.50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · Philadelphia Phillies0.4800.000$0.00−$1.67
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs · Atlanta Braves0.4100.000$0.00−$2.00
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.4800.000$0.00−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 05:46Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.4099999999$64.00
10-11 19:28Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.5099999919$29.00
10-09 00:24Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.4799999585$3.70
10-07 18:10Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.4899999717$4.50
10-07 18:06Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.5899999887$3.14
10-07 18:04Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.4699999674$4.32
10-06 22:08Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.5099999707$3.66
10-06 22:05Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.4499999959$5.44
10-05 01:08Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.5199999792$3.00
10-04 20:52San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersSELL0.56$4.91
10-04 20:51San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.4399999754$5.00
10-04 20:51San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.5699999886$5.00
10-03 17:08Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.5699999886$3.50
09-30 07:06Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.5799999604$4.10
09-30 07:06Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesBUY0.4599999034$2.00