lurkr
0x34a351f6f4ba7ac7127f2852a21e75e75de2f04f
- Realised P&L
- $-385.15
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $63.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.67at 0.386Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 14?
- +$16.15at 0.769Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 17?
- +$15.49at 0.622Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
- +$9.40at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 20?
- +$7.06at 0.566St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 05:46 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4099999999 | $64.00 |
| 10-11 19:28 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5099999919 | $29.00 |
| 10-09 00:24 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.4799999585 | $3.70 |
| 10-07 18:10 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.4899999717 | $4.50 |
| 10-07 18:06 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5899999887 | $3.14 |
| 10-07 18:04 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.4699999674 | $4.32 |
| 10-06 22:08 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5099999707 | $3.66 |
| 10-06 22:05 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.4499999959 | $5.44 |
| 10-05 01:08 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 20:52 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.56 | $4.91 |
| 10-04 20:51 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:51 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 17:08 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $3.50 |
| 09-30 07:06 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5799999604 | $4.10 |
| 09-30 07:06 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |