dieg
0x349d4d5bc48da59f95c1aa16f935f350d90b7d6a
- Realised P&L
- $-130.25
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $339.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · Karmine Corp | 0.230 | 1.000 | $200.00 | +$154.00 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · Dplus KIA | 0.430 | 1.000 | $130.00 | +$74.10 |
| Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · Yes | 0.625 | 0.115 | $9.19 | −$40.81 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.75 |
| LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Movistar KOI | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$510.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$546.00 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.383 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$484.45 |
| Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Team Vitality | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$926.00at 0.403Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$322.58at 0.864MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$222.50at 0.658Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$139.71at 0.831LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
- +$105.00at 0.650Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 12:23 | LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 07-11 20:41 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2175 | $108.75 |
| 07-06 18:50 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.65 | $97.50 |
| 07-06 18:49 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.66 | $330.00 |
| 05-31 17:01 | LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.23 | $80.50 |
| 05-30 15:29 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $500.00 |
| 05-30 14:55 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.74 | $185.00 |
| 05-30 14:33 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.39 | $546.00 |
| 02-05 10:27 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $888.27 |
| 02-05 10:19 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.2k |
| 01-31 17:54 | Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $195.80 |
| 01-29 15:49 | Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 01-14 14:46 | Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | BUY | 0.6254144575 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 15:14 | Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025? | BUY | 0.2502762656 | $200.00 |
| 11-05 13:57 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3829999997 | $484.45 |