dieg
0x349d4d5bc48da59f95c1aa16f935f350d90b7d6a
- Realised P&L
- $141.02
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $10.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · Yes | 0.625 | 0.135 | $10.79 | −$39.21 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.75 |
| LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Movistar KOI | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$510.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$546.00 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Karmine Corp | 0.241 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.98 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.383 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$484.45 |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · GIANTX | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.00 |
| Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Team Vitality | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$926.00at 0.403Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$322.58at 0.864MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$218.11at 0.664Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$152.23at 0.239LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- +$136.32at 0.835LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 17:42 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.26 | $15.60 |
| 09-06 17:37 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.23 | $21.65 |
| 09-05 11:14 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.21 | $63.00 |
| 08-29 19:15 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.688999994 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 19:09 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 18:14 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.2399999918 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 11:28 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.5870646725 | $40.00 |
| 08-29 11:10 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 18:59 | LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.259999995 | $27.00 |
| 08-23 11:26 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.95 | $400.00 |
| 08-23 11:19 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7699999963 | $40.00 |
| 08-23 11:11 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 08-21 12:21 | LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 12:23 | LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 07-11 20:41 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2175 | $108.75 |