0x3498dcec48f979e3fc984627180fa97b7c1b61c8
0x3498dcec48f979e3fc984627180fa97b7c1b61c8
- Realised P&L
- $7.40
- Volume
- $352.25
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $15.61
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:28 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:29 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:36 | Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:07 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 14:56 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 06:50 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:56 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 01:03 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 05:01 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 21:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 12:33 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 04:16 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 20:14 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |