tiffany51
0x349898c7a0c25262f422004813d459598e2b5605
- Realised P&L
- $4.73
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $19.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? · No | 0.630 | 0.660 | $12.30 | +$0.56 |
| Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.555 | $6.99 | −$0.19 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? · No | 0.840 | 0.005 | $0.06 | −$10.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.01at 0.450Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$20.33at 0.545Solana above $190 on February 14?
- +$10.09at 0.998Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
- +$3.54at 0.805Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in August?
- +$0.48at 0.975Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 10:15 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.8399999967 | $10.20 |
| 01-31 13:42 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.61 |
| 01-30 16:15 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.06 |
| 01-30 15:15 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.27 |
| 01-30 14:15 | Will Chainlink hit $21 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $38.08 |
| 01-30 11:38 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.14 |
| 12-30 10:15 | Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999843 | $18.69 |
| 12-30 01:03 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979998879 | $5.34 |
| 12-30 00:54 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999701 | $24.25 |
| 12-29 22:59 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $62.65 |
| 12-29 20:45 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $27.40 |
| 10-30 20:37 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.83 |
| 10-30 18:09 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.77 |
| 09-29 18:52 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $16.18 |
| 09-29 17:21 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.9979999461 | $15.51 |