KidSanti
0x3495e50ec532cdca20e5bb8a289838d2120bde3c
- Realised P&L
- $18.46
- Volume
- $541.14
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.26at 0.086Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
- +$4.04at 0.432Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2?
- +$1.76at 0.740Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?
- +$-1.16at 0.341Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-2.43at 0.360Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0118228153 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0045565975 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0328207498 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.4199999775 | $2.99 |
| 07-08 04:16 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.327 | $18.71 |
| 07-01 04:53 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3339999934 | $19.11 |
| 02-07 23:23 | Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.0859999642 | $2.00 |
| 02-07 23:22 | Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? | SELL | 0.258364701 | $6.18 |
| 01-22 15:35 | Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999833 | $8.61 |
| 01-21 15:05 | Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 01-21 15:01 | Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21? | BUY | 0.6899998965 | $5.00 |