PolyBot

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Traders

misterironheart

0x34957ac7d8f2ff3bef6190e5427acd198507282e

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$183.9k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$4.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2900.019$4.39$62.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.5860.000$0.00$1.2k
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Down0.2220.000$0.00$111.10
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.4560.000$0.00$1.4k
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up0.5550.000$0.00$277.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$250.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$1.4k
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00$329.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$199.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00$5.25
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Down0.6720.000$0.00$2.0k
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.2260.000$0.00$112.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$99.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3AM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$369.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 17:25Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2899999979$67.00
06-29 15:00Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.35$6.27
06-29 14:45Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.5464198649$252.00
06-29 11:44Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.3205106$160.26
06-29 11:26Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.06$0.96
06-29 10:24Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.02$10.00
06-29 10:14Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
06-29 10:07Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.2322995777$150.00
06-29 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.64$9.31
06-29 08:55Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.28$140.00
06-29 08:47Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.4360629285$470.00
06-29 08:19Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.03$1.91
06-29 08:04Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSELL0.99$495.00
06-29 08:03Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.22$110.00
06-29 07:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3AM ETBUY0.37$133.41