0x34925cf6596940078ae513d2e7e2ab1b0ea81f7d
0x34925cf6596940078ae513d2e7e2ab1b0ea81f7d
- Realised P&L
- $-11.77
- Volume
- $187.54
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $6.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 1.000 | $6.45 | +$4.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$4.61at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.329Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.432Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.432Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:13 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 23:24 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 15:23 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 06:54 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 15:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 07:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 09:26 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 00:41 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 16:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 03:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 18:22 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 10:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199998758 | $1.42 |
| 08-24 21:42 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 00:39 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |