abster
0x348cacfab1b7d75c0edeee43f9e880d77703c35a
- Realised P&L
- $-125.13
- Volume
- $225.2k
- Markets traded
- 419
- Open portfolio
- $911.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded419
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.996 | $911.81 | +$9.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$188.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.44 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.70at 0.927Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?
- +$67.34at 0.920Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24?
- +$66.52at 0.846Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25?
- +$56.47at 0.895Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?
- +$53.72at 0.961Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 22:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.987 | $0.70 |
| 10-09 22:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.987 | $174.00 |
| 10-09 14:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.982 | $250.41 |
| 10-09 14:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.9880119879 | $30.00 |
| 10-09 11:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 10-09 10:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $215.00 |
| 10-09 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.976996114 | $218.00 |
| 10-09 02:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 10-09 00:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.983 | $516.08 |
| 10-08 15:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.931 | $46.53 |
| 10-08 12:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.975024975 | $400.00 |
| 09-25 11:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.8399998992 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 02:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.80 |
| 09-21 11:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.50 |
| 09-11 15:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.19 |