PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

abster

0x348cacfab1b7d75c0edeee43f9e880d77703c35a

Realised P&L
$-125.13
Volume
$225.2k
Markets traded
419
Open portfolio
$911.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded419
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10? · Yes0.9850.996$911.81+$9.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs0.9400.000$0.00−$188.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? · Yes0.8230.000$0.00−$19.44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 22:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?BUY0.987$0.70
10-09 22:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?BUY0.987$174.00
10-09 14:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?BUY0.982$250.41
10-09 14:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?BUY0.9880119879$30.00
10-09 11:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?BUY0.985$4.92
10-09 10:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?BUY0.982999998$215.00
10-09 10:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?BUY0.976996114$218.00
10-09 02:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?BUY0.988$4.94
10-09 00:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?SELL0.983$516.08
10-08 15:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?SELL0.931$46.53
10-08 12:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?BUY0.975024975$400.00
09-25 11:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25?BUY0.8399998992$6.00
09-24 02:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?BUY0.95$5.80
09-21 11:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?BUY0.79$4.50
09-11 15:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?SELL0.003$1.19