0x348CA6349701F47a259e159e9ec12839DD9e8633-1783264049970
0x348ca6349701f47a259e159e9ec12839dd9e8633
- Realised P&L
- $26.69
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $30.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.20at 0.467Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?
- +$10.98at 0.477Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?
- +$9.81at 0.608Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?
- +$9.47at 0.605Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 16?
- +$8.36at 0.651Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.83 |
| 10-14 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.28 |
| 10-14 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.04 |
| 10-14 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.63375 | $5.07 |
| 10-13 23:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.28 |
| 10-13 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.80 |
| 10-13 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.95 |
| 09-19 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6928571429 | $4.85 |
| 09-19 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.97 |
| 09-19 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.25 |
| 09-19 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.90 |
| 09-19 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.97 |
| 09-19 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 09-18 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.68 | $5.44 |
| 09-18 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.63375 | $5.07 |