yueqian1900
0x346afe16bbbe4fa84b94b7a3db55c37d8195f5b2
- Realised P&L
- $-159.91
- Volume
- $41.5k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $13.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.065 | $7.39 | −$4.61 |
| Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.082 | $6.15 | −$1.85 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 28? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? · 150k | 0.249 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.27at 0.290Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
- +$3.20at 0.533Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
- +$1.52at 0.360Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$1.47at 0.575XRP Up or Down - July 20, 5AM ET
- +$0.79at 0.560Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 14:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.764 | $113.32 |
| 07-28 01:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.712999997 | $28.00 |
| 07-26 13:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8259999033 | $5.50 |
| 07-26 13:54 | Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $5.97 |
| 07-26 13:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8259999935 | $7.40 |
| 07-26 13:51 | Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0212596917 | $8.01 |
| 07-26 13:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8229999943 | $18.87 |
| 07-26 13:45 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0206304098 | $20.45 |
| 07-26 13:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8229999791 | $6.80 |
| 07-26 13:43 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $7.27 |
| 07-26 07:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7919999007 | $6.00 |
| 07-26 07:56 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $6.60 |
| 07-26 07:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7919999694 | $12.41 |
| 07-26 07:49 | Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0230891882 | $10.36 |
| 07-26 07:48 | Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.66 |