0x3468375cbCe77260779805706a06A5D326163965-1768125473045
0x3468375cbce77260779805706a06a5d326163965
- Realised P&L
- $-562.61
- Volume
- $76.2k
- Markets traded
- 6,158
- Open portfolio
- $5.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,158
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.36at 0.406Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2PM ET
- +$89.32at 0.438Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12PM ET
- +$77.04at 0.425Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3PM ET
- +$74.04at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1PM ET
- +$73.19at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.32 |
| 10-19 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.32 |
| 10-19 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.70 |
| 10-18 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |