greenpen
0x34663e299204e3792a4cf110b9a18726a2b5ff2f
- Realised P&L
- $-94.70
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $50.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.99at 0.407Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$113.91at 0.407Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5
- +$99.26at 0.457Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
- +$87.94at 0.187Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?
- +$83.92at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 13:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.07 |
| 09-21 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1622611749 | $17.43 |
| 09-21 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.07 |
| 09-21 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0464622327 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.1557323477 | $6.91 |
| 09-20 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.241546268 | $31.18 |
| 09-20 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.3926894344 | $14.72 |
| 09-20 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.3624733475 | $13.60 |
| 09-19 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.1010616918 | $5.87 |
| 09-17 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3019132635 | $22.40 |
| 09-17 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3072566279 | $5.60 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Spread: BAL (-8.5) | SELL | 0.5 | $104.14 |
| 09-16 18:05 | Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) | SELL | 0.47 | $26.36 |
| 09-16 18:05 | Spread: SF (-12.5) | SELL | 0.51 | $33.49 |
| 09-16 18:05 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 | SELL | 0.5 | $54.82 |