greenpen
0x34663e299204e3792a4cf110b9a18726a2b5ff2f
- Realised P&L
- $164.95
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $53.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.90at 0.400Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$115.29at 0.400Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5
- +$101.51at 0.444Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
- +$88.74at 0.180Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?
- +$86.44at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1799999926 | $18.42 |
| 08-04 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2469992133 | $11.68 |
| 08-04 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.83 |
| 08-04 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.32822178 | $11.02 |
| 08-04 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.9419999986 | $14.67 |
| 08-04 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.4609002744 | $10.13 |
| 08-04 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.3846206708 | $5.72 |
| 08-04 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0349999947 | $6.12 |
| 08-04 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1099999958 | $21.95 |
| 08-04 00:09 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.5464024136 | $53.31 |
| 08-03 20:07 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.5699999977 | $56.12 |
| 08-03 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0387958117 | $7.22 |
| 08-02 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.2016114561 | $7.92 |
| 08-02 08:59 | Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.66 | $55.45 |
| 08-02 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.0599999969 | $17.23 |