normilio
0x346327b09f97b812fe9fb3d25fa1c3a5eb68c7d5
- Realised P&L
- $-143.02
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $360.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.840 | $360.93 | +$68.75 |
| Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.03 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.96at 0.720Will Eric Adams drop out?
- +$17.20at 0.610Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
- +$0.36at 0.740Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
- +$-8.56at 0.300Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?
- +$-20.06at 0.422Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 01:24 | Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6799999993 | $292.18 |
| 11-25 19:48 | Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.33 | $63.03 |
| 11-25 19:45 | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025? | SELL | 0.018 | $4.37 |
| 11-25 19:45 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $9.94 |
| 11-25 19:45 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | SELL | 0.013 | $5.73 |
| 11-25 19:45 | Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025? | SELL | 0.2486643466 | $41.44 |
| 10-26 22:16 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.1665132525 | $38.00 |
| 10-26 22:16 | Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025? | SELL | 0.0077824371 | $0.32 |
| 10-18 14:05 | Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 14:04 | Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 14:04 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.4223415328 | $30.00 |
| 10-17 14:36 | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 14:36 | Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025? | SELL | 0.7086892192 | $102.02 |
| 10-17 14:36 | Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025? | SELL | 0.8198717667 | $67.20 |
| 09-29 13:26 | Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025? | BUY | 0.5 | $71.98 |