PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

swarms96

0x346187b69731202dea47a4615b818446f5b6fba4

Realised P&L
$963.06
Volume
$164.3k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.245$753.38$46.62
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2240.071$215.16$464.84
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5090.395$93.10$26.90
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5690.000$0.00$100.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3880.000$0.00$290.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5230.000$0.00$600.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7280.000$0.00$486.00
Cavaliers vs. Hawks · Cavaliers0.6600.000$0.00$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$150.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$400.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$200.00
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4? · No0.8800.000$0.00$60.00
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$40.00
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.2380.000$0.00$729.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:19Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.7025$597.27
07-19 21:18Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.995$797.53
07-19 19:14Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6$408.00
07-19 18:59Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.587499995$100.00
07-18 21:29France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.2799999993$206.00
07-18 21:09France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.5299999994$202.00
07-18 21:09France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.5299999995$200.00
07-18 21:08France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.5399999995$336.00
07-17 20:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.405$319.74
07-15 20:48Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.1388197587$204.32
07-15 20:47Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.7025$818.44
07-15 20:19Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.0949999992$100.00
07-15 20:17Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.2574999995$300.00
07-15 20:09Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2599999984$109.00
07-15 19:49Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.42$250.78