kampana
0x345f52da682f69e7e1d10086160e6952739aa050
- Realised P&L
- $-247.82
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $104.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.49at 0.365Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
- +$157.99at 0.395Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
- +$31.15at 0.290Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$28.25at 0.148Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- +$27.23at 0.474Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 00:25 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.64 |
| 08-21 14:04 | Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.87 | $32.36 |
| 08-21 14:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.34 | $102.00 |
| 08-14 21:31 | Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.13 | $22.10 |
| 08-14 15:49 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July? | SELL | 0.52 | $88.48 |
| 08-13 13:48 | Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.44 | $9.79 |
| 08-07 13:02 | Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.38 | $105.18 |
| 08-04 22:32 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | SELL | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 07-31 17:10 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $26.50 |
| 07-14 01:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14? | SELL | 0.0183601008 | $0.51 |
| 07-14 00:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14? | SELL | 0.68 | $2.34 |
| 07-13 23:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 23:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.5799997332 | $2.00 |
| 06-02 00:17 | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.098 | $0.61 |
| 06-02 00:09 | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.88 |