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Traders

kampana

0x345f52da682f69e7e1d10086160e6952739aa050

Realised P&L
$-247.82
Volume
$13.7k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$104.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30? · Yes0.4090.504$86.96+$16.36
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1900.225$8.82+$1.38
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2300.255$4.75+$0.46
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes0.5300.290$3.50$2.89
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? · No0.0700.017$0.33$1.08
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche · Avalanche0.6200.000$0.00$10.00
Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers0.5600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3330.000$0.00$19.00
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs0.5400.000$0.00$10.00
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) · Spurs0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July? · No0.3300.000$0.00$6.90
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5 · Under0.5300.000$0.00$10.00
Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs0.3000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 00:25Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.76$0.64
08-21 14:04Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?SELL0.87$32.36
08-21 14:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.34$102.00
08-14 21:31Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?SELL0.13$22.10
08-14 15:49Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?SELL0.52$88.48
08-13 13:48Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?SELL0.44$9.79
08-07 13:02Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.38$105.18
08-04 22:32Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?SELL0.69$34.50
07-31 17:10Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.1$26.50
07-14 01:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14?SELL0.0183601008$0.51
07-14 00:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?SELL0.68$2.34
07-13 23:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14?BUY0.0359999663$1.00
07-13 23:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?BUY0.5799997332$2.00
06-02 00:17Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.098$0.61
06-02 00:09Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.3$1.88