arong33
0x345e301b9f20d4a1dfacd4324569b3c5da4e2b85
- Realised P&L
- $-24.32
- Volume
- $522.24
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $117.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.275 | $52.16 | −$2.84 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.401 | 0.390 | $51.49 | −$1.51 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.070 | $14.04 | −$20.96 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 12:03 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1745084672 | $35.00 |
| 09-10 11:59 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4014602579 | $53.00 |
| 09-10 11:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999991 | $55.00 |