PolyBot

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Traders

0x345bf94379ae2c5eb1a0e527a10a977fc7915421

0x345bf94379ae2c5eb1a0e527a10a977fc7915421

Realised P&L
$3.50
Volume
$103.14
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$5.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes0.7900.875$1.11+$0.11
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.4300.460$1.07+$0.07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.8000.790$0.99−$0.01
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? · Yes0.8000.660$0.82−$0.17
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.6200.430$0.69−$0.31
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · No0.2200.125$0.57−$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 17:58Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-05 08:18Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-04 23:59Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-03 04:35Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?BUY0.8$1.00
10-02 15:17Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-02 14:38Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-02 06:08S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-01 15:38SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-27 16:46OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-27 02:10Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-26 07:45Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.749999625$1.00
09-23 21:47Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-23 13:46Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-23 05:42Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-23 05:34Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00