0x344a1ecaa54bfc0311e8434abacda52c486367b2
- Realised P&L
- $-591.18
- Volume
- $43.9k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $108.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.925 | 0.245 | $108.25 | −$300.72 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.24at 0.570Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$-46.42at 0.377Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$-52.35at 0.393Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 17:02 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $27.00 |
| 06-23 07:05 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $27.00 |
| 06-23 06:18 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $27.00 |
| 06-22 16:17 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.57 | $25.65 |
| 06-22 10:37 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.56 | $25.20 |
| 06-18 06:35 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.57 | $25.65 |
| 06-16 16:49 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.52 | $23.40 |
| 02-20 06:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 01-28 11:36 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.02 |
| 01-28 10:23 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.88 | $5.41 |
| 01-28 10:22 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $7.00 |
| 01-28 10:22 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $7.00 |
| 01-28 10:22 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $7.00 |
| 01-28 10:22 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $7.00 |
| 01-28 10:22 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $7.00 |