ALuksus
0x3449dcbda38527716925dc5bb2f34f66f33af2ad
- Realised P&L
- $-753.91
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $208.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.037 | $200.72 | −$25.80 |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.310 | $7.75 | −$1.25 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.29at 0.301Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$28.81at 0.370US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
- +$9.23at 0.390Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$2.00at 0.200Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$1.61at 0.383Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 19:25 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0229999985 | $15.00 |
| 05-30 16:17 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.2599999064 | $1.50 |
| 05-28 19:29 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0474569218 | $92.81 |
| 05-28 19:26 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.044 | $82.88 |
| 05-27 19:06 | Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.00 |
| 05-27 18:50 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.04 | $11.20 |
| 05-27 18:49 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.04 | $12.00 |
| 04-08 06:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.06 |
| 04-08 06:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | SELL | 0.0421423771 | $4.39 |
| 04-08 06:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.93 |
| 04-05 13:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.30 |
| 04-04 17:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $9.35 |
| 04-03 21:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $9.42 |
| 04-02 18:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $9.48 |
| 03-28 12:16 | Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31? | SELL | 0.0060178286 | $1.05 |