0x343ef63b141bfe78e9ea91af7b5aa700214398b0
- Realised P&L
- $-5.28
- Volume
- $194.80
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $7.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.875 | $3.37 | +$1.37 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.800 | 0.885 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.720 | $1.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$2.03at 0.502Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
- +$1.92at 0.482Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.522Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.420Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 13:35 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 04:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 14:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 14:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 05:53 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999568 | $1.74 |
| 09-07 20:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 10:16 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 22:25 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 14:20 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 12:14 | Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 15:15 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 07:15 | Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 20:57 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $2.00 |