0x343b5b2a755130bd3599bf11c8e99fd7358b3094
0x343b5b2a755130bd3599bf11c8e99fd7358b3094
- Realised P&L
- $-5.66
- Volume
- $186.48
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $4.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · No | 0.550 | 0.595 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.495 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.545 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? · No | 0.640 | 0.575 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.135 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.24at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$3.13at 0.400Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?
- +$1.15at 0.472Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5
- +$0.94at 0.522Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?
- +$0.86at 0.542San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 02:27 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:38 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:25 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:18 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:09 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7989999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:09 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.392999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:07 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:09 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:09 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:32 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:56 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:38 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:02 | Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |