0x343a1fbe79c921e5a28e78490812649f2d02684f
0x343a1fbe79c921e5a28e78490812649f2d02684f
- Realised P&L
- $0.97
- Volume
- $263.56
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $6.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.470 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.360 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.365 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · No | 0.390 | 0.430 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · No | 0.450 | 0.495 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.145 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.12at 0.278Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.01at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$4.01at 0.369Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.91at 0.440US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.48at 0.480US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:04 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 22:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:45 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:23 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:01 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 15:01 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 07:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 23:01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:38 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:18 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 06:09 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999159 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 22:07 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999897 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 05:20 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099999547 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 18:32 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $2.29 |