EdwardVera
0x3437e72e870fb6127340164fccdb2fee0ae80335
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $198.1k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.046 | $8.7k | −$1.5k |
| Will Caio Borralho fight Joe Pyfer next? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.475 | $4.90 | −$5.10 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.41at 0.490Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
- +$9.23at 0.520Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$8.87at 0.530Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$8.09at 0.980Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$7.54at 0.570Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 03:58 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0489999851 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 04:15 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0529999838 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 01:58 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0509999762 | $2.00 |
| 07-17 19:20 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0509999975 | $18.72 |
| 07-17 19:09 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0509999494 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 05:37 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0509999762 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 00:04 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.051000001 | $2.97 |
| 07-12 03:42 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0535957648 | $16.69 |
| 07-12 03:41 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0518897056 | $497.11 |
| 07-12 03:41 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.04602092 | $1.4k |
| 07-12 00:40 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0429999916 | $4.83 |
| 07-04 05:05 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0419999941 | $6.73 |
| 07-04 05:04 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 03:39 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0386002534 | $652.48 |
| 07-04 03:27 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0359999944 | $6.00 |