0x3437e72e870fb6127340164fccdb2fee0ae80335
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $10.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.038 | $10.5k | −$2.9k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.765 | $107.75 | +$7.75 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · Yes | 0.925 | 0.595 | $24.45 | −$13.55 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.027 | $12.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.056 | $10.03 | −$0.97 |
| Will Caio Borralho fight Joe Pyfer next? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.26at 0.497Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
- +$9.09at 0.527Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$8.73at 0.537Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$7.69at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$7.41at 0.577Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 22:25 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.041 | $71.00 |
| 10-30 22:24 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7099999971 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 22:23 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.041 | $41.00 |
| 10-26 03:00 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.00 |
| 10-23 19:07 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 22:30 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 14:01 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0421064833 | $67.92 |
| 10-14 01:36 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | SELL | 0.0403326276 | $47.82 |
| 10-14 01:35 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | SELL | 0.0474590164 | $14.48 |
| 10-10 05:39 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.0438081993 | $48.30 |
| 10-10 05:21 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.0249484536 | $9.68 |
| 10-10 05:07 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0459999997 | $7.00 |
| 10-03 05:47 | Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.0608793482 | $11.00 |
| 09-22 13:17 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0269999998 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 01:58 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.048 | $42.30 |