EdwardVera
0x3437e72e870fb6127340164fccdb2fee0ae80335
- Realised P&L
- $-513.50
- Volume
- $277.4k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $12.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.048 | $12.6k | −$454.69 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · Yes | 0.925 | 0.505 | $20.75 | −$17.25 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.026 | $9.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Caio Borralho fight Joe Pyfer next? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.590 | $6.08 | −$3.92 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.26at 0.497Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
- +$9.09at 0.527Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$8.73at 0.537Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$7.69at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$7.41at 0.577Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:35 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0259999999 | $7.00 |
| 09-09 22:37 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0359999999 | $8.00 |
| 09-04 18:25 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0342751671 | $470.30 |
| 09-04 00:25 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0279999999 | $211.28 |
| 08-29 20:10 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0342176354 | $665.80 |
| 08-29 18:44 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0309999902 | $2.99 |
| 08-25 01:37 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 08-25 01:21 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | SELL | 0.069221902 | $2.88 |
| 08-25 00:59 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | BUY | 0.8403954777 | $35.00 |
| 08-25 00:59 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | BUY | 0.9226818145 | $35.00 |
| 08-24 02:36 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 02:33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0379999909 | $3.95 |
| 08-20 05:30 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0379999999 | $343.56 |
| 08-15 05:26 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0396929711 | $503.91 |
| 08-11 23:27 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0468120892 | $23.39 |