VirtualGoon
0x3436d2b80d8648729c173b23f9d4d613b100c291
- Realised P&L
- $-63.98
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $11.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.66at 0.150Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$11.00at 0.100Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$9.65at 0.509US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
- +$4.01at 0.317Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$3.51at 0.422Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 10:34 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $8.78 |
| 06-29 07:40 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | SELL | 0.946 | $3.66 |
| 06-25 02:27 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.078999993 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 13:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.09 | $6.67 |
| 06-19 13:39 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 06:00 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.4441601141 | $14.01 |
| 06-15 13:38 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | BUY | 0.3169999816 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 23:10 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 22:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 22:48 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 06-14 22:47 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0103737847 | $0.29 |
| 06-14 22:47 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.50 |
| 06-14 22:47 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.56 |
| 06-14 22:47 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.50 |
| 06-12 01:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |