PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AirborneButter

0x342c8bceecf76bb2a5ed033ad52a807cd9070c03

Realised P&L
$3.05
Volume
$649.35
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$13.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · Yes0.6560.989$9.04+$3.04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.065$1.18$0.82
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.135$1.04+$0.04
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.275$0.92$0.08
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? · Yes0.1290.033$0.50$1.50
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.145$0.43$0.57
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1400.030$0.22$0.78
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.036$0.21$0.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:43Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$2.86
09-17 20:42Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$4.84
09-17 20:35Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0699377093$10.44
09-11 22:16Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1784574867$2.00
09-11 22:15Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.014$0.70
09-11 22:15Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.34$0.94
09-11 00:00Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-10 23:21Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-09 18:07Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999584$4.00
09-07 21:45Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
08-08 06:15Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1039999135$1.00
08-06 21:58Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$1.00
08-06 21:48Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?BUY0.71$4.00
08-06 08:57Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0849999286$1.00
08-06 08:57Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0849999286$1.00