0x342b261d8496ff39a66d79f83f0bb451e020d208
0x342b261d8496ff39a66d79f83f0bb451e020d208
- Realised P&L
- $-476.61
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $13.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.052 | $3.55 | −$11.45 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.043 | $2.75 | −$9.25 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.060 | $2.50 | −$12.50 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.022 | $2.27 | −$7.73 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.100 | $2.25 | −$4.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.67at 0.045Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$59.81at 0.210Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
- +$50.47at 0.490Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5
- +$42.13at 0.439Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$34.84at 0.567Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 10.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 23:57 | Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 | BUY | 0.5590508385 | $55.13 |
| 06-11 00:44 | Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6299999933 | $33.15 |
| 06-11 00:42 | De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.6099999968 | $34.25 |
| 03-19 08:23 | Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31? | BUY | 0.088007171 | $63.19 |
| 03-19 08:23 | Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31? | BUY | 0.2899999978 | $63.56 |
| 03-14 22:08 | Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $45.09 |
| 03-14 22:07 | Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5399999972 | $45.58 |
| 03-14 22:02 | Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $46.45 |
| 03-14 21:24 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $44.90 |
| 03-14 20:00 | Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.7299999985 | $44.26 |
| 03-14 19:56 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5 | BUY | 0.9866926478 | $44.75 |
| 03-14 19:37 | Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6368031968 | $29.88 |
| 03-14 04:46 | Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $58.71 |
| 03-14 04:42 | Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $33.04 |
| 03-13 21:36 | Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4799999939 | $28.21 |