FlyTo-TheMoon
0x34272602a9984cb6516ebefaf28652b62c952ff7
- Realised P&L
- $-356.31
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,392
- Open portfolio
- $126.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,392
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.59at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$8.28at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$7.52at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 3?
- +$6.32at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$4.43at 0.115Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:22 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.73 |
| 10-01 03:36 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 10-01 03:31 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 10-01 03:30 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 10-01 01:19 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $175.50 |
| 09-27 08:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 08:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 09-27 08:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-27 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-27 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-27 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-27 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-27 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-27 01:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-27 00:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |