0x3426efb113d321016258474af45a73e62f856397
- Realised P&L
- $55.99
- Volume
- $276.41
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $10.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar20.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szczecin: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Thiago Monteiro · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0.520 | 0.535 | $10.09 | +$0.28 |
| SMU vs. Louisville · SMU | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.40 |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss · LSU | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
| Bowling Green vs. Iowa State: O/U 43.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.71 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-26.5) · North Dakota | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.11at 0.513Spread: Iowa State (-23.5)
- +$24.85at 0.602UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$7.97at 0.500Spread: Georgia (-24.5)
- +$4.35at 0.530Spread: Texas State (-2.5)
- +$3.02at 0.6201Q Spread: Georgia (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:32 | Szczecin: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Thiago Monteiro | BUY | 0.5199999894 | $9.81 |
| 09-20 00:29 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5899999804 | $9.32 |
| 09-20 00:27 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5899999994 | $27.53 |
| 09-19 20:36 | Spread: Georgia (-24.5) | SELL | 0.634 | $3.17 |
| 09-19 19:00 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.5799999882 | $2.95 |
| 09-19 16:22 | Spread: Iowa State (-23.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $37.81 |
| 09-19 16:14 | Spread: Georgia (-24.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $9.80 |
| 09-19 16:01 | Bowling Green vs. Iowa State: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $14.71 |
| 09-19 15:55 | Spread: Nebraska (-26.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-19 15:54 | 1Q Spread: Georgia (-6.5) | BUY | 0.6199999899 | $4.92 |
| 09-19 14:51 | Spread: Texas State (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999502 | $4.90 |
| 09-19 14:50 | SMU vs. Louisville | BUY | 0.4599999863 | $7.40 |