SamanthaColeman898
0x341e6950165424c373c5e07f841f37c3e16c51b0
- Realised P&L
- $-24.00
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 424
- Open portfolio
- $15.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded424
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $15.87 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · No | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.93at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 18?
- +$9.81at 0.749Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 21?
- +$9.51at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on April 20?
- +$9.33at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 16?
- +$9.11at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9989999947 | $15.90 |
| 09-13 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.9989999904 | $18.80 |
| 09-11 01:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 14°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989999978 | $30.90 |
| 09-10 20:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.00 |
| 09-07 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.9989999336 | $12.18 |
| 09-06 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.13 |
| 09-06 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.57 |
| 09-06 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.19 |
| 09-05 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.50 |
| 09-04 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.90 |
| 09-04 17:36 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.10 |
| 09-04 11:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.74 |
| 09-04 01:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.20 |
| 09-03 15:42 | Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.10 |
| 09-03 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.90 |