0x3419528EFCA6238E7A586e91295543dC65f874CD-1774153911069
0x3419528efca6238e7a586e91295543dc65f874cd
- Realised P&L
- $-43.38
- Volume
- $528.01
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $39.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.35at 0.614XRP Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$4.62at 0.641Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$3.88at 0.673BNB Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$3.69at 0.682Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$3.34at 0.700Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 13:08 | Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.8499999882 | $3.60 |
| 04-05 16:42 | Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? | BUY | 0.89 | $3.95 |
| 04-05 16:33 | Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.985999999 | $4.03 |
| 04-05 16:31 | Will Travis Etienne be traded? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.13 |
| 04-05 16:26 | Spread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9627170103 | $4.23 |
| 04-05 16:26 | Will Apple reach $308 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.30 |
| 04-05 16:26 | Will Joshua Van be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.43 |
| 04-05 16:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.6999999691 | $4.53 |
| 04-05 16:23 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.769999983 | $2.71 |
| 04-05 16:18 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7699999776 | $1.72 |
| 04-05 16:15 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8229999409 | $2.20 |
| 03-31 02:47 | BNB Up or Down - March 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $4.95 |
| 03-31 02:47 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.849999983 | $4.91 |
| 03-31 02:39 | BNB Up or Down - March 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $4.98 |
| 03-31 02:39 | Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.449999955 | $4.82 |