PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3419528EFCA6238E7A586e91295543dC65f874CD-1774153911069

0x3419528efca6238e7a586e91295543dc65f874cd

Realised P&L
$-43.38
Volume
$528.01
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$39.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · No0.7001.000$6.47+$1.94
Will Joshua Van be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? · No0.9981.000$4.44+$0.01
Spread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5) · Botafogo FC0.9631.000$4.39+$0.16
Will Apple reach $308 in April? · No0.9981.000$4.31+$0.01
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? · No0.8501.000$4.24+$0.64
Will Travis Etienne be traded? · No0.9991.000$4.13+$0.00
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.9860.912$3.73$0.30
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.7700.915$3.22+$0.51
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.8231.000$2.67+$0.47
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7700.787$1.76+$0.04
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? · No0.8900.041$0.18$3.77
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00$14.46
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.4430.000$0.00$6.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-07 13:08Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.8499999882$3.60
04-05 16:42Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?BUY0.89$3.95
04-05 16:33Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.985999999$4.03
04-05 16:31Will Travis Etienne be traded?BUY0.999$4.13
04-05 16:26Spread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5)BUY0.9627170103$4.23
04-05 16:26Will Apple reach $308 in April?BUY0.998$4.30
04-05 16:26Will Joshua Van be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?BUY0.998$4.43
04-05 16:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.6999999691$4.53
04-05 16:23Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.769999983$2.71
04-05 16:18Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7699999776$1.72
04-05 16:15Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.8229999409$2.20
03-31 02:47BNB Up or Down - March 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.92$4.95
03-31 02:47Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.849999983$4.91
03-31 02:39BNB Up or Down - March 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.9699999981$4.98
03-31 02:39Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.449999955$4.82