Jahardman
0x3414cf70a5509d593d0dae5069b39df9332cab06
- Realised P&L
- $-109.36
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $82.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.030 | $32.11 | +$12.11 |
| Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.870 | 1.000 | $22.99 | +$2.99 |
| Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.871 | 1.000 | $22.96 | +$2.96 |
| Will Trump deport 200-300k people? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.046 | $4.48 | −$15.52 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.035 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.69at 0.810Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
- +$-85.00at 0.313US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-30 08:34 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.3499999971 | $60.00 |
| 01-29 14:16 | Will Trump deport 200-300k people? | BUY | 0.2054653791 | $20.00 |
| 01-29 14:12 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 01-29 14:06 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0189999991 | $20.00 |
| 01-29 14:04 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 01-29 14:03 | Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 01-25 02:54 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 01-25 02:38 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | BUY | 0.0416666667 | $5.00 |
| 01-25 02:31 | Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.00 |
| 01-25 02:30 | Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8709723665 | $20.00 |
| 01-25 02:26 | Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31? | BUY | 0.0099255583 | $20.00 |
| 01-25 02:26 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes? | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $20.00 |