0x3409A88459A5B8F602495c6A5fb9B6DC236A6412-1783087553648
0x3409a88459a5b8f602495c6a5fb9b6dc236a6412
- Realised P&L
- $-6.62
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $107.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.215 | $85.62 | −$67.38 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.320 | $10.67 | −$9.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Up | 0.800 | 1.000 | $2.50 | +$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down | 0.890 | 1.000 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down | 0.990 | 1.000 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Down | 0.990 | 1.000 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down | 0.990 | 1.000 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.29at 0.018Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$28.03at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$20.94at 0.092Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$14.73at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$12.75at 0.292Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 14:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.3899999989 | $133.00 |
| 10-27 12:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 11:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 13:57 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $20.00 |
| 05-15 01:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 21:28 | Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 12.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 12:02 | Charaeva vs. Korpatsch: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 02:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 19:25 | Granada vs. Barcelona | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 17:45 | BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 05-13 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 05-13 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 05-13 13:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 05-13 10:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.00 |