PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

HideOnWap

0x34004f59431dc5b842679ddc1d827a7b61754832

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$169.8k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$129.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.190$79.30−$16.70
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0660.059$44.91−$5.09
Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.105$5.56−$3.44
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$67.40
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$8.15
Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2780.000$0.00−$160.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00−$22.00
Will CF América win on 2026-01-09? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$5.06
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$36.19
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? · No0.8100.000$0.00−$1.5k
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$14.00
Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1080.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$68.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 16:38Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1313323529$125.03
10-27 16:38Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5543956044$100.90
10-27 16:37Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3668900209$112.36
10-25 02:50Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3672998097$800.92
10-25 02:50Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.787$1.5k
10-24 18:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8379999998$635.00
10-24 18:39Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699564668$9.00
10-24 18:38Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999996$96.00
10-24 04:27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8014001119$965.00
10-24 04:27Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999999$785.00
10-24 04:24Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.67$1.8k
10-24 04:08Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6799999995$349.00
10-24 04:07Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.5074359958$349.16
10-24 03:31Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Rare Atom (BO3) - VOID Autumn Cup PlayoffsBUY0.6099999756$5.00
10-24 03:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.01$1.00