nssmaxi
0x33f1c6a0a2e462ef4eb5e473b922d053bdf12ad3
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $108.3k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $172.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.646 | 0.843 | $118.02 | +$27.58 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.772 | 0.545 | $27.25 | −$11.35 |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.844 | 0.165 | $18.82 | −$77.50 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.135 | $6.75 | −$38.25 |
| Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.185 | $1.66 | −$2.82 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.799 | 0.005 | $0.36 | −$57.12 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.682 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$911.20at 0.741Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$602.82at 0.758Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$601.42at 0.712Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$570.46at 0.809Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?
- +$322.01at 0.746Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:36 | Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8656894474 | $50.29 |
| 08-04 13:28 | Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.974053101 | $375.67 |
| 08-04 13:20 | Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.93 | $464.99 |
| 08-04 13:20 | Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.5k |
| 08-04 13:13 | Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch | BUY | 0.8295436291 | $181.77 |
| 08-04 13:08 | Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.94 | $47.94 |
| 08-04 10:40 | Squid FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.9801980192 | $114.38 |
| 08-04 10:40 | Squid FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.9702970275 | $183.33 |
| 08-04 10:38 | Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch | BUY | 0.7797245634 | $283.09 |
| 08-04 10:37 | Squid FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.96 | $232.35 |
| 08-04 10:36 | Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $601.40 |
| 08-04 10:30 | Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.9 | $192.60 |
| 08-04 10:30 | Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch | BUY | 0.75 | $297.99 |
| 08-04 10:28 | Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.89 | $97.01 |
| 08-04 10:28 | Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch | BUY | 0.7356896552 | $85.34 |