nssmaxi
0x33f1c6a0a2e462ef4eb5e473b922d053bdf12ad3
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $102.0k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.998 | $2.2k | +$27.60 |
| Squid FDV above $600M one day after launch · No | 0.990 | 0.993 | $186.65 | +$0.56 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.646 | 0.883 | $123.69 | +$33.25 |
| Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.782 | 0.880 | $52.75 | +$5.88 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.772 | 0.495 | $24.75 | −$13.85 |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.844 | 0.115 | $13.12 | −$83.21 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.095 | $4.75 | −$40.25 |
| Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.405 | $3.63 | −$0.40 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.799 | 0.018 | $1.26 | −$56.22 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.682 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$317.13at 0.840MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$164.49at 0.931Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$158.93at 0.945Flying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
- +$101.01at 0.947Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$96.44at 0.939GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:18 | Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 08-03 08:11 | Squid FDV above $600M one day after launch | BUY | 0.99 | $186.09 |
| 07-31 18:09 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9969999992 | $395.00 |
| 07-29 14:11 | GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $370.00 |
| 07-28 04:52 | GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9108910869 | $61.10 |
| 07-24 05:59 | Over $1.5M committed to the TownSquare public sale? | BUY | 0.9348113208 | $99.09 |
| 07-20 08:09 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9649999994 | $1.5k |
| 07-20 08:08 | GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9330731488 | $1.1k |
| 06-30 05:36 | Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.1k |
| 06-27 14:36 | Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $461.00 |
| 06-27 14:35 | Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9970029962 | $1.0k |
| 06-27 06:34 | Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.60 |
| 06-24 07:00 | Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9960937837 | $971.00 |
| 06-24 07:00 | Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9976165284 | $1.2k |
| 06-24 06:59 | Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9977033998 | $851.04 |