Bailu2026
0x33f0b9b0e3fb9a4271441dc9d4780ef85a8a433a
- Realised P&L
- $-14.0k
- Volume
- $67.1k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.045 | $3.0k | −$14.0k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down | 0.561 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down | 0.315 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.66at 0.614Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $4.70 |
| 04-07 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $2.62 |
| 04-07 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.699999993 | $9.57 |
| 04-07 18:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $130.00 |
| 04-07 18:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $260.00 |
| 04-07 12:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $117.00 |
| 04-07 04:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $260.00 |
| 04-02 19:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 03-28 03:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $336.00 |
| 03-26 16:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $442.00 |
| 03-25 19:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2596497391 | $597.19 |
| 03-25 19:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $925.00 |
| 03-25 09:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2594945 | $259.49 |
| 03-25 09:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2498262105 | $237.33 |
| 03-24 08:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.0k |