PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x33ef31a44639dff6d99b46407d6939791d00e619

Realised P&L
$-209.06
Volume
$21.7k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$97.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? · No0.3570.325$38.57$3.79
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? · No0.9250.963$30.96+$1.20
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1270.088$8.97$3.93
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · Yes0.1890.070$4.97$8.47
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1100.043$4.09$6.22
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes0.0900.037$3.08$4.42
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.360$2.24$1.93
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.984$2.13+$0.05
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.7500.755$1.48+$0.01
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.017$1.36$1.94
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%? · No0.3600.000$0.00$23.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 07:06Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?SELL0.42$117.09
07-23 03:14Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.3501807052$155.03
07-23 03:11Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.37$96.39
07-23 03:08Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.5242092194$130.89
07-23 03:07Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?SELL0.76$146.00
07-16 04:26Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.5$171.43
07-15 05:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.43$2.73
07-15 05:32Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.8$264.25
07-15 05:30Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.47$216.92
07-11 18:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.32$248.64