0x33c8913b91E2B395ca7166409c8e3F95CD3e52DC-1772312947148
0x33c8913b91e2b395ca7166409c8e3f95cd3e52dc
- Realised P&L
- $-75.75
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $6.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.71at 0.280Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
- +$19.26at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.32at 0.258US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$9.29at 0.350Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$0.58at 0.896Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-18 08:02 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 08:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0879999852 | $5.00 |
| 04-18 08:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1629999679 | $4.00 |
| 04-18 08:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1719999714 | $4.00 |
| 03-14 20:29 | Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 20:28 | Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1929999744 | $5.00 |
| 03-14 20:24 | Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.8589951378 | $5.30 |
| 03-14 20:22 | Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 03-14 20:21 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 20:17 | Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0069721116 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 20:17 | Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0115034424 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 20:16 | Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0238379023 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 19:59 | Will Arco win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0117134612 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 19:59 | Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0628742401 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 19:58 | Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0087378641 | $5.00 |