8dAe
0x33c4b5298999b90541820be0f491649392e88dae
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $72.0k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.973 | 0.975 | $2.1k | +$3.23 |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.574Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$811.56at 0.219Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$252.54at 0.691US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$212.98at 0.473Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
- +$126.00at 0.830Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 15:00 | Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.967 | $9.67 |
| 10-19 13:42 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.0761441765 | $12.94 |
| 10-13 15:37 | Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.973 | $2.0k |
| 08-13 16:40 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.8k |
| 05-17 08:27 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.18 | $11.88 |
| 05-17 08:26 | Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.0020629809 | $2.31 |
| 04-24 16:41 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | SELL | 0.09 | $13.50 |
| 04-24 12:40 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.1081666667 | $6.49 |
| 04-23 18:01 | Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) | BUY | 0.98 | $5.46 |
| 04-23 18:01 | Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) | BUY | 0.97 | $5.40 |
| 04-23 15:46 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $0.94 |
| 04-23 15:29 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $26.31 |
| 04-23 12:56 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.99 | $344.14 |
| 04-23 12:26 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.15 | $2.94 |
| 04-23 11:58 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.33 | $6.33 |