PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

8dAe

0x33c4b5298999b90541820be0f491649392e88dae

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$72.0k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9730.975$2.1k+$3.23
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0190.001$0.03−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 15:00Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.967$9.67
10-19 13:42 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.0761441765$12.94
10-13 15:37Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.973$2.0k
08-13 16:40Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.969$1.8k
05-17 08:27 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.18$11.88
05-17 08:26Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?SELL0.0020629809$2.31
04-24 16:41Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL0.09$13.50
04-24 12:40Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.1081666667$6.49
04-23 18:01Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)BUY0.98$5.46
04-23 18:01Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)BUY0.97$5.40
04-23 15:46Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.01$0.94
04-23 15:29Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$26.31
04-23 12:56Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.99$344.14
04-23 12:26Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.15$2.94
04-23 11:58Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.33$6.33