PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lll981kd

0x33c44be86e9d523060283efd6863e69beb5a4ad5

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$33.9k
Markets traded
608
Open portfolio
$88.50

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded608
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Bills0.7800.880$8.80+$1.00
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels0.7400.825$8.25+$0.85
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 55.5 · Over0.6000.785$7.85+$1.85
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.6700.785$7.85+$1.15
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 · Over0.4300.710$7.10+$2.80
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) · Pittsburgh0.5900.695$6.95+$1.05
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers0.7510.822$6.95+$0.60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6400.665$6.65+$0.25
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.7500.575$5.75$1.75
Spread: BAL (-8.5) · NO0.4800.495$4.95+$0.15
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.3700.335$3.35$0.35
Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6500.515$2.58$0.68
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.5400.255$2.55$2.85
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.3900.450$2.25+$0.30
Spread: Bills (-6.5) · Lions0.1200.180$1.80+$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 21:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.3526648022$8.83
09-12 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.18$5.37
09-12 21:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.6$16.75
09-12 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.5042644388$13.88
09-12 20:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.69$17.41
09-12 20:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.6185883281$15.69
09-12 20:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.36$9.89
09-12 20:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.6$17.65
09-12 20:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.4079535232$10.88
09-12 20:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.6$16.38
09-12 20:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.33$8.71
09-12 20:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.38$10.67
09-12 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.7724307205$19.51
09-12 19:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.3650192456$9.48
09-12 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.61$17.89