PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x33c20279cDF56Ae3E4d0BA0981c0780AFE996F8C-1779244055236

0x33c20279cdf56ae3e4d0ba0981c0780afe996f8c

Realised P&L
$-23.43
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$49.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0480.050$12.42+$0.30
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0110.008$10.13$4.07
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0190.019$8.78+$0.03
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes0.0080.012$8.04+$2.38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0600.035$3.89$2.71
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0140.021$2.22+$0.80
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0210.022$2.12+$0.12
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0120.015$1.78+$0.36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · No0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$2.40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0200.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET · Down0.0130.000$0.00$1.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$2.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-03 01:56Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.006$3.00
06-01 03:33GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.02$6.00
06-01 02:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$1.00
05-31 11:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$1.10
05-31 09:58StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?BUY0.008$2.52
05-31 09:56StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?BUY0.007$0.14
05-31 09:46Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.009$2.63
05-31 03:53Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.06$6.60
05-31 03:39Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
05-31 03:17Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.049$2.45
05-31 03:16Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.048$1.67
05-28 07:37Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.012$2.37
05-28 07:31Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.05$4.75
05-28 07:28Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.03$0.27
05-28 06:47Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.012$1.20